Skip to content

2006 Prediction Results

02-Jan-07

Now that 2006 is officially over, it is time for me to look back and see how accurate my predictions were.  Let us get started.

-: Music :-
Not sure about this one.  50 Cent actually had a record year with The Massacre selling over one million units.  However, as predicted, ever since his album was released you haven’t heard much about/from him.  As for the Thuggish/Gangsta style of rap taking a backseat to the educated, I was wrong.  They did take a bit of a backseat, but it was to the dance heavy South and their “snap” music.  Sure Common, Kanye, Mos Def and the rest of the educated bunch did well, but not nearly as well as I thought they would.

-: Movies :-
It was a bit of hit and miss with movies.  I do not remember how expense movies were a year ago (you would think I would have jotted that down), but with current prices hovering at just over $9, I think I was a bit wrong in suggesting that movies prices would “almost double.”  They definitely increased, but I doubt enough to warrant an almost doubling title.  I was correct with the remake prediction (not sure how many remakes were released in 2006, but memory tells me there was a lot).  So while I was correct in predicting that sales of some big name movies would be less than expected, my predictions were quickly silenced by the likes of Borat (great movie BTW).

-: TV :-
I think I hit this nail on the head.  Reality shows (Survivor, Flavor of Love, Dancing With the Stars, etc.) were a huge hit in 2006.  So huge that Flavor of Love was the most watched non-sports show on TV (for that week).  Crazy, huh?  I have to admit I even tuned in to a few episodes of Flavor of Love.  In addition, television dramas (or epic series) were a major hit.  All of the shows I mentioned in the prediction (24, Prison Break, etc.) did well, and their was even room for some newcomers such as Heroes and Ugly Betty to gain some significant ratings.  And last but definitely not least, people swarmed to iTunes to download television shows.  I have yet to buy one, and I really cannot wrap my head around why people do, but I said they would and I was right.

-: Cars :-
Well let’s see.  Hybrids are not as big of a deal as I thought they would be.  They picked up steam with the introduction of the Prius, Hybrid Civic, Hybrid Accord, Hybrid Camry, etc, etc.  But still sales of Hybrids are far below what I was expecting them to be.  In addition, neither Ford nor GM filed for bankruptcy as I predicted.  Ford did come awfully close however, and just recently issued debt secured by its assets to curb their financial woes.  So in short, I was a bit off on the car predictions.

-: Tech :-
My favorite category, and unfortunately probably my worst.  In December 2005, Apple’s total market share was roughly 4.35%.  I was expecting this number to nearly double.  And while Apple did have a good year due to strong sales, its total market share only increased to about 5.67%, far short of my predictions.  In addition, I predicted that Google’s stock price would crash.  Wrong, wrong, wrong.  It did take a bit of a dip in early March, but it has since increased and is back to its over-valued figure.

So overall, I guess I did not do ‘that’ bad.  I would not say I did good, just not ‘that’ bad.

Getting Work Done Outside Office

09-Dec-06

Ever since I moved to the Macintosh platform (I have been saying that a lot .. I know, but it is a big deal .. trust me), I have been searching for a decent alternative to Microsoft Office. I have my quarrels with Microsoft over many of their products, but Word and Excel are two products they do well and that I use religiously. In fact, I would say Word and Excel are the two most frequently used programs on my computer; period. And since I do not want to lay-down a few hundred dollars for the Macintosh version (I have used it and I am just not that impressed by it), I ventured out to try and find a decent alternative. You would think that finding a decent word processing and spreadsheet program would be easy .. wrong.

My first stop in my search was Apple’s own Pages. I cannot say that I am entirely impressed with the product, but since it was included as a free-trial with my Macbook, I figured I should at least consider it. As Apple’s first entry into the word processing arena it is not a bad product. It does everything that you would want a word processing program to do (format, bold, italicize, etc.) without including unnecessary and unwanted in-your-face features. I like that. However, that is all it offers. There is no alternative to Excel. So while you could probably get your word processing needs satisfied with Pages, you will still be stuck searching for a place to put your charts and graphs. And since the processing program will run you $79, it is hard to recommend it to anyone. In fact, I would recommend that most people not even bother opening the program in its current state. The program is nice, and has potential, but unfortunately for Apple the $79 price tag unjustifiable considering the Student & Teacher version of Office is only $149.

My next stop is the infamous Open Office. Open Office is supposed to offer a complete and free alternative to Microsoft Office. It includes alternatives for both Word and Excel, as well as some other extras that are useful. So as a package and an idea, Open Office is impressive. However, as a Macintosh application it is frustrating. The program requires that X11 (an Apple application) be installed on your computer before it can function. Installation is relatively easy (pop in your restore CD, check some boxes, and off you go), but the fact that I have to do that is just irritating. In addition, every time you open Open Office, X11 opens. This means that when you go to exit the application, you also have to exit out of X11. And if you accidentally close X11, you will also close Open Office in an unsafe manner and increases the risk of data being lost. A small complaint I know, but it is still irritating enough to keep me from using the program or recommending the program. So while Open Office is by far the most formidable competitor and offers a complete office suite, until they decide to abandon their use of X11, I think it is more of a pain than it is worth.

My third stop was Google’s Docs & Spreadsheets. This particular application is a bit different from the above mentioned as it is completely based online. This is great for people who travel or use several computers (such as myself), as their latest and greatest version is always accessible. And, just like Open Office, Google’s Docs & Spreadsheets is free. It does have its shortcomings though, the biggest of which is that you have to have an account with Google to use it. This is no big deal for me as I already have a gmail account, but I could see it being a significant hurdle for people who have email elsewhere and do not want yet another set of credentials to remember.

As for the actual applications, Google Docs application is very straight forward. You get a text box with a few basic editing options. It also has some advanced functions such as posting to a blog, exporting in PDF or Word format , and collaborative editing. All of these are welcome features, and I particularly like how they are located out of the way and will not interfere with your typing. In fact, I am typing this entry from within Google Doc’s & Spreadsheets right now. My only complaint about the application is that it does not check for correct grammar. It has spell check, but one of my favorite features of Word is its ability to analyze your sentences, find runons, repeat words, or just all around awkwardness, and warn you with a nice green squiggly line. Google’s Docs does not do that. Sad. As a basic word editor though, it functions very well and is available anywhere you have an internet connection. A definite plus for the blogger, student, editor, or professional on the run.

Google’s Spreadsheets application on the other hand, while usable, is not as straight-forward or as complete. The online interface is a bit frustrating to use (clicking in cells, selecting them, etc.), but it is bearable. The problem is that Excel operates like a program while Spreadsheets operates like an online application. So while selecting non-adjacent cells in Excel is relatively easy using the “ctrl” key, doing the same thing online is virtually impossible. This makes formatting much more time consuming as you either have to select a large area by dragging, or select each cell individually. Another limitation is that the applications’ canvas is significantly smaller. You can only have 20 columns and 100 rows. This is a big change from the 250+ columns and 65,000+ rows available in Excel. And while I do not usually use 65,000 rows of data, I do frequently use more than 100.

So in the end, Microsoft Office still rains supreme. While each of the above mentioned applications provide a piece of the overall package, no single application trumps Office in its ease-of-use and thoroughness (Open Office is close, but I really hate the X11 requirement). I should state however that Google Docs has quickly become my word editor of choice. As mentioned, it does not have the bells and whistles that Word has, but the convenience of opening any web browser on any computer and being able to add / edit my work is a priceless convenience that I am growing very fond of. However, Google Spreadsheets has gone almost entirely unused. I just cannot get over the size limitation and slight awkwardness of the user interface. Good thing for me I have an XP machine with Office 2K3 laying around.

Full Season of Heroes for Free

05-Dec-06

I have to applaud NBC for finally getting it. They have put the entire first season of their popular TV Show Heroes online for free, and in a convenient format (Flash). The video quality is not great and you have to watch commercials, but I like it. Now if some other studios (Fox, Comedy Central, etc.) would take notice, I might watch a bit more TV .. err .. computer.

[TV Show Link]

Greatest Football Catch Ever?

19-Nov-06

What do you think? Is this really the greatest football catch you have ever seen?

[Video Link]

Microsoft Zune (aka iPod Killer)

14-Nov-06

So the Microsoft Zune was released today. If you are unaware of what the Zune is, it is Microsoft’s supposed “iPod killer.” Well, all day long the tech sphere has been filled with posts blasting Zune, its software, and its pricing structure. And from what I have read about the device so far, I cannot say I am terribly surprised.

However, what did surprise me was how CNN (yeah, you know that worldwide news channel) blasted the Zune. Seriously. The video is just painful. I love how they keep asking if it does this and that, only to be told “no.”

Personally I have a few problems with the player. Mainly that it 1) does not work on Macintosh machines and 2) uses some crazy point system to purchase songs.

Anyway, check out the video. It is definitely entertaining.

[Video Link]

Xbox vs. iTunes: The Imaginary Battle

09-Nov-06

So in the past few days there has been a ton of information about Microsoft’s new media venture; movies and TV via the Xbox 360. When I heard the news that Microsoft was venturing into movies and television with their Xbox I was not the least bit surprised. In fact, I was expecting them to announce this service sooner or later (albeit it did come sooner than I thought). What I was surprised by was people’s reactions to the upcoming service.

From the moment it was announced people started claiming Microsoft’s new service to be the “Apple-Killer” and pointing out how Apple must be frustrated since Microsoft beat them to the living room. Others simply focused on the technical superiority of the Xbox’s HD content compared to Apple’s almost as good as DVD resolution. However, I think people are wishful thinking and creating a false rivalry. Yes it is true that they both will allow an individual to watch downloaded content on their TV, but just because two devices share the same end result does not necessarily mean they are in competition with one another. In fact, I would say that one word will keep these two services from competing with one another: portability.

Apple sells its movies and television shows to customers because people want to enjoy their media on-the-go. Instead of sitting shotgun on a road trip and sleeping, sitting uncomfortably on an airplane staring at a tray table, or watching fellow commuters on the local mass-transit at 6am with a skeptical eye, they want to watch an episode of 24, Prison Break, BattleStar Galactica, etc. This is why people buy movies/television shows from iTunes. Nobody purchases television series from iTunes with the intention of watching it on their TV. I know that sounds odd, but it is the truth. Sure, being able to watch their favorite episode of the Chapelle Show on their glorious 42″ HDTV when at home would be a nice perk, but that option is just that, a perk. Apple understands this, recognizes that its users love perks, and therefore is releasing the iTV to allow people to watch their portable content at home easily. I know many people want it to be more, but that is it. They are simply looking to make portable content easily enjoyable at home.

Microsoft on the other hand is attempting to deliver content to your home, and only your home. All of the content downloaded from Xbox Live Marketplace will be stored on your Xbox. And since nobody is going to be packing around their Xbox, a television, and a hefty battery pack to watch content on the go, Microsoft’s offering has no portability. None. It is at the home content only. That is why I do not see the two competing with one another for customers. Apple is occupying the spare time of the on-the-go individual, while Microsoft is trying to satisfy the HD cravings of the almighty couch potato. They are two separate customers, with two separate needs, and the companies solutions illustrate this.

So if Microsoft is not competing with Apple, the question is who is Microsoft competing against? Cable/satellite providers. Microsoft wants to offer its users the ability to purchase HD television shows, or rent HD movies, so they can watch them at their convenience. And while this “sounds” new and exciting, it is nothing but the same old offering in new packaging. Companies such as Comcast have been, and currently do, provide its customers the exact same functionality (minus the purchasing of television shows) and convenience that Microsoft is attempting to provide with its upcoming service.

As an example, with the click of an “on demand” button on my remote, I have the option of renting (for a 24hr window just like the Xbox service) any movie of my choice in glorious HD. Or, I could pay Comcast $10 more a month, get DVR functionality, and record all of the television shows I want. This allows me to enjoy the content I want, when I want, just like the Xbox Live service. And just like the Xbox service, the content cannot be easily transported or enjoyed outside of my living room. I am trapped to the confines of my living quarters. This offering is drastically different from the Apple option which allows me to be entertained not only when I want, but where I want.

So in closing, while the Microsoft vs. Apple war is always an interesting one to watch, it looks like we will have to wait a while longer before we get to really see the two battle it out for the living room. For now though, congrats to Apple for offering users the easiest way to enjoy their favorite past-time while in transit or at home. And congrats to Microsoft for being able to repackage an old offering and convince people its new.

Men’s Guide To Selecting Their Clothes

08-Nov-06

Now this is a funny flow-chart. And sadly, I must say I have followed a few of those arrows more than once in my lifetime. Hilarious. And women think us men don’t put any thought into getting dressed.

[Link]

Orbit

07-Nov-06

Oh I how I love small flash based games. This one is called Orbit and the idea is to NOT hit any of the planets. After a few minutes of playing I got to level 5. Now I know why I never got into physics, astronomy, and all of that other stuff.

[Link]

Verse Of The Moment (November 2006)

05-Nov-06

This month I got another oldie but goody for you. It comes from everyone’s favorite, Wyclef Jean. I felt this verse was appropriate given the upcoming elections. Anyway, the song is called “President.” Enjoy.

Wyclef Jean (Welcome to Haiti: Creole 101) Artist: Wyclef Jean

 Album: Welcome to Haiti: Creole 101

 Song: President

 Download |  Ringtone (Coming Soon - Hopefully)

 Play:

[Intro]
Yea.
Election time is coming.
Who you gonna vote for?
Yeah

[Chorus]
If I was president
I’d get elected on Friday
Assassinated on Saturday
Buried on Sunday
They go back to work on Monday
If I was president…
If I was president…
If I was president…

[Verse]
Instead of spending billions on the war
I could use that money
so I could feed the poor
cuz I know some so poor
when it rains that’s when they shower
screaming fight the power
that’s when the vultures devoured

[Chorus]
If I was president
I’d get elected on Friday
Assassinated on Saturday
Buried on Sunday
They go back to work on Monday
If I was president…
If I was president…
If I was president…
Yeah

Impressive Pool Tricks

27-Oct-06

I was just browsing YouTube (everyone’s favorite video website), and this has got to be some of the coolest pool tricks I have seen. Kudos to him.

[Link]