fonzo.biz

Now that 2006 is officially over, it is time for me to look back and see how accurate my predictions were.  Let us get started.

-: Music :-
Not sure about this one.  50 Cent actually had a record year with The Massacre selling over one million units.  However, as predicted, ever since his album was released you haven’t heard much about/from him.  As for the Thuggish/Gangsta style of rap taking a backseat to the educated, I was wrong.  They did take a bit of a backseat, but it was to the dance heavy South and their “snap” music.  Sure Common, Kanye, Mos Def and the rest of the educated bunch did well, but not nearly as well as I thought they would.

-: Movies :-
It was a bit of hit and miss with movies.  I do not remember how expense movies were a year ago (you would think I would have jotted that down), but with current prices hovering at just over $9, I think I was a bit wrong in suggesting that movies prices would “almost double.”  They definitely increased, but I doubt enough to warrant an almost doubling title.  I was correct with the remake prediction (not sure how many remakes were released in 2006, but memory tells me there was a lot).  So while I was correct in predicting that sales of some big name movies would be less than expected, my predictions were quickly silenced by the likes of Borat (great movie BTW).

-: TV :-
I think I hit this nail on the head.  Reality shows (Survivor, Flavor of Love, Dancing With the Stars, etc.) were a huge hit in 2006.  So huge that Flavor of Love was the most watched non-sports show on TV (for that week).  Crazy, huh?  I have to admit I even tuned in to a few episodes of Flavor of Love.  In addition, television dramas (or epic series) were a major hit.  All of the shows I mentioned in the prediction (24, Prison Break, etc.) did well, and their was even room for some newcomers such as Heroes and Ugly Betty to gain some significant ratings.  And last but definitely not least, people swarmed to iTunes to download television shows.  I have yet to buy one, and I really cannot wrap my head around why people do, but I said they would and I was right.

-: Cars :-
Well let’s see.  Hybrids are not as big of a deal as I thought they would be.  They picked up steam with the introduction of the Prius, Hybrid Civic, Hybrid Accord, Hybrid Camry, etc, etc.  But still sales of Hybrids are far below what I was expecting them to be.  In addition, neither Ford nor GM filed for bankruptcy as I predicted.  Ford did come awfully close however, and just recently issued debt secured by its assets to curb their financial woes.  So in short, I was a bit off on the car predictions.

-: Tech :-
My favorite category, and unfortunately probably my worst.  In December 2005, Apple’s total market share was roughly 4.35%.  I was expecting this number to nearly double.  And while Apple did have a good year due to strong sales, its total market share only increased to about 5.67%, far short of my predictions.  In addition, I predicted that Google’s stock price would crash.  Wrong, wrong, wrong.  It did take a bit of a dip in early March, but it has since increased and is back to its over-valued figure.

So overall, I guess I did not do ‘that’ bad.  I would not say I did good, just not ‘that’ bad.